Prognostic Approaches and Ethical Foundations of Techno-Social Expert Assessment

Abstract

The paper studies using methodological approaches in techno-social expert assessment which focus
on building a forward-looking estimates and control over technological innovations. Techno-social expert
assessment is understood as an interdisciplinary project that attracts not only an elite scientifi c community,
but also the broad masses of the public having a “collective intelligence”, ability to self-organization and
emergent creative insights for improving its accuracy. Two mutually complementary methodological approaches:
foresight as a method of expert assessment of technosphere, and crowdsourcing – a method of attracting
volunteers to solve non-standard issues and building forecasts – are observed in details